Clodagh Kilcoyne | Reuters
An EU flag flutters subsequent to the statue of Winston Churchill exterior the Houses of Parliament, forward of a vote on Prime Minister Theresa May’s Brexit deal, in London, Britain January 15, 2019.
Despite her defeat within the House of Commons, the U.K.’s decrease home of parliament, “there is no such thing as a instant menace to May’s place,” Mujtaba Rahman, Europe managing director for political consultancy Eurasia Group, wrote in a be aware. May is expected to remain in energy because the Democratic Unionist Party (one other opposition group) and the Conservatives who voted against her Brexit deal will help her, Rahman mentioned.
If May survives Corbyn’s no-confidence vote, she should put ahead another Brexit technique subsequent week, which can be topic to additional debate in Parliament. But as a result of there is no such thing as a form of Brexit that can be supported by each Conservative and Labour, Corbyn will probably help the concept of a second vote on whether or not Britain ought to hand over its E.U. membership, in line with Adonis.
Another referendum is the “more than likely course,” Adonis mentioned. Given how divided parliament is, a referendum is probably the most reasonable possibility for lawmakers to agree on, versus one other Brexit settlement, he continued.
Assuming May wins the no-confidence vote, the large query is whether or not Corbyn will transfer ahead on a referendum subsequent week or wait till the top of March, Adonis mentioned. He believes the results of a second referendum will overwhelmingly see the U.K. remain within the E.U.